feat: add strategy and backtest services

- strategy_service.py combines opportunity + portfolio signals into
  unified buy/sell/hold recommendations
- backtest_service.py runs walk-forward backtests on historical datasets
  with virtual cash and positions
- CLI adds `strategy` and `backtest` commands with `--decision-interval`
  and other tuning parameters
- Add tests for both services and CLI dispatch
- Update CLAUDE.md with new architecture docs
- Optimize model weights via opportunity optimizer

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Carlos Ouyang
2026-04-27 13:21:35 +08:00
parent 10b314aa2b
commit e4b2239bcd
7 changed files with 1078 additions and 10 deletions

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@@ -0,0 +1,129 @@
"""Tests for backtest_service."""
from __future__ import annotations
import json
import tempfile
import unittest
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Any
from coinhunter.services import backtest_service
class BacktestServiceTestCase(unittest.TestCase):
def _klines(self, closes: list[float], start_ms: int = 0, volumes: list[float] | None = None) -> list[list[float]]:
volumes = volumes or [1.0] * len(closes)
return [
[start_ms + i * 3600000, c * 0.98, c * 1.02, c * 0.97, c, v, 0.0, c * v, 100, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]
for i, (c, v) in enumerate(zip(closes, volumes))
]
def _config(self) -> dict[str, Any]:
return {
"opportunity": {
"entry_threshold": 1.5,
"watch_threshold": 0.6,
"min_trigger_score": 0.45,
"min_setup_score": 0.35,
"overlap_penalty": 0.6,
"top_n": 10,
"scan_limit": 50,
"kline_limit": 48,
"weights": {},
"model_weights": {},
},
"portfolio": {
"add_threshold": 1.5,
"hold_threshold": 0.6,
"trim_threshold": 0.2,
"exit_threshold": -0.2,
"max_position_weight": 0.6,
"max_positions": 5,
},
"signal": {
"lookback_interval": "1h",
},
"market": {
"default_quote": "USDT",
},
"trading": {
"commission_pct": 0.001,
},
}
def _make_dataset(self, closes_by_symbol: dict[str, list[float]], start_iso: str = "2025-12-28T00:00:00Z", sim_start_iso: str = "2025-12-30T00:00:00Z", sim_end_iso: str = "2026-01-01T00:00:00Z") -> Path:
from datetime import datetime, timezone
start_ms = int(datetime.fromisoformat(start_iso.replace("Z", "+00:00")).timestamp() * 1000)
klines: dict[str, dict[str, list[list[float]]]] = {}
for symbol, closes in closes_by_symbol.items():
klines[symbol] = {"1h": self._klines(closes, start_ms=start_ms)}
dataset = {
"metadata": {
"created_at": "2026-01-01T00:00:00Z",
"quote": "USDT",
"symbols": list(closes_by_symbol.keys()),
"plan": {
"intervals": ["1h"],
"kline_limit": 48,
"reference_days": 2.0,
"simulate_days": 1.0,
"run_days": 1.0,
"total_days": 4.0,
"start": start_iso,
"simulation_start": sim_start_iso,
"simulation_end": sim_end_iso,
"end": sim_end_iso,
},
"external_history": {"provider": "disabled", "status": "disabled"},
},
"klines": klines,
}
fp = tempfile.NamedTemporaryFile(mode="w", suffix=".json", delete=False)
json.dump(dataset, fp)
fp.close()
return Path(fp.name)
def test_run_backtest_produces_summary(self) -> None:
config = self._config()
closes = list(range(20, 92))
path = self._make_dataset({"BTCUSDT": closes})
try:
result = backtest_service.run_backtest(config, dataset_path=str(path), initial_cash=10000.0)
self.assertIn("summary", result)
self.assertIn("trades", result)
self.assertIn("equity_curve", result)
self.assertIn("parameters", result)
summary = result["summary"]
self.assertIn("initial_cash", summary)
self.assertIn("final_equity", summary)
self.assertIn("total_return_pct", summary)
self.assertIn("max_drawdown_pct", summary)
self.assertIn("win_rate", summary)
finally:
path.unlink()
def test_run_backtest_missing_simulation_dates_raises(self) -> None:
config = self._config()
path = self._make_dataset({"BTCUSDT": list(range(20, 92))}, sim_start_iso="", sim_end_iso="")
try:
with self.assertRaises(ValueError):
backtest_service.run_backtest(config, dataset_path=str(path))
finally:
path.unlink()
def test_run_backtest_tracks_equity_curve(self) -> None:
config = self._config()
# Need ~72 candles to cover 2025-12-28 through 2026-01-01 (warmup + simulation)
closes = list(range(20, 92))
path = self._make_dataset({"BTCUSDT": closes})
try:
result = backtest_service.run_backtest(config, dataset_path=str(path), initial_cash=10000.0)
self.assertTrue(len(result["equity_curve"]) > 0)
first = result["equity_curve"][0]
self.assertIn("time", first)
self.assertIn("equity", first)
self.assertIn("cash", first)
self.assertIn("positions_count", first)
finally:
path.unlink()

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@@ -336,6 +336,76 @@ class CLITestCase(unittest.TestCase):
max_examples=5,
)
def test_strategy_dispatches(self):
captured = {}
with (
patch.object(
cli, "load_config", return_value={"binance": {"spot_base_url": "https://test", "recv_window": 5000}, "market": {"default_quote": "USDT"}, "opportunity": {"top_n": 10}}
),
patch.object(cli, "get_binance_credentials", return_value={"api_key": "k", "api_secret": "s"}),
patch.object(cli, "SpotBinanceClient"),
patch.object(
cli.strategy_service,
"generate_trade_signals",
return_value={"buy": [{"symbol": "BTCUSDT", "score": 0.82}], "sell": [], "hold": []},
),
patch.object(
cli, "print_output", side_effect=lambda payload, **kwargs: captured.setdefault("payload", payload)
),
):
result = cli.main(["strategy", "-s", "BTCUSDT"])
self.assertEqual(result, 0)
self.assertEqual(captured["payload"]["buy"][0]["symbol"], "BTCUSDT")
def test_backtest_dispatches_without_private_client(self):
captured = {}
config = {"market": {"default_quote": "USDT"}, "opportunity": {}}
with (
patch.object(cli, "load_config", return_value=config),
patch.object(cli, "_load_spot_client", side_effect=AssertionError("backtest should use dataset only")),
patch.object(
cli.backtest_service,
"run_backtest",
return_value={"summary": {"total_return_pct": 5.0, "win_rate": 0.6}, "trades": []},
) as backtest_mock,
patch.object(
cli,
"print_output",
side_effect=lambda payload, **kwargs: captured.update({"payload": payload, "agent": kwargs["agent"]}),
),
):
result = cli.main(
[
"backtest",
"/tmp/dataset.json",
"--initial-cash",
"5000",
"--max-positions",
"3",
"--position-size-pct",
"20",
"--commission-pct",
"0.1",
"--lookback",
"12",
"--agent",
]
)
self.assertEqual(result, 0)
self.assertEqual(captured["payload"]["summary"]["total_return_pct"], 5.0)
self.assertTrue(captured["agent"])
backtest_mock.assert_called_once_with(
config,
dataset_path="/tmp/dataset.json",
initial_cash=5000.0,
max_positions=3,
position_size_pct=0.2,
commission_pct=0.001,
lookback=12,
decision_interval_minutes=None,
)
def test_opportunity_optimize_dispatches_without_private_client(self):
captured = {}
config = {"market": {"default_quote": "USDT"}, "opportunity": {}}

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@@ -0,0 +1,100 @@
"""Tests for strategy_service."""
from __future__ import annotations
import unittest
from typing import Any
from unittest import mock
from unittest.mock import MagicMock
from coinhunter.services import strategy_service
class StrategyServiceTestCase(unittest.TestCase):
def _klines(self, closes: list[float], volumes: list[float] | None = None) -> list[list[float]]:
volumes = volumes or [1.0] * len(closes)
return [
[i * 3600000.0, c * 0.98, c * 1.02, c * 0.97, c, v, 0.0, c * v, 100, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0]
for i, (c, v) in enumerate(zip(closes, volumes))
]
def _config(self) -> dict[str, Any]:
return {
"opportunity": {
"entry_threshold": 1.5,
"watch_threshold": 0.6,
"min_trigger_score": 0.45,
"min_setup_score": 0.35,
"overlap_penalty": 0.6,
"top_n": 10,
"scan_limit": 50,
"kline_limit": 48,
"weights": {},
"model_weights": {},
},
"portfolio": {
"add_threshold": 1.5,
"hold_threshold": 0.6,
"trim_threshold": 0.2,
"exit_threshold": -0.2,
"max_position_weight": 0.6,
},
"signal": {
"lookback_interval": "1h",
},
"market": {
"default_quote": "USDT",
},
}
def test_generate_signals_from_klines_buy_when_entry_and_not_held(self) -> None:
config = self._config()
closes = list(range(20, 40))
klines = {"BTCUSDT": self._klines(closes)}
result = strategy_service.generate_signals_from_klines(config, klines_by_symbol=klines, held_positions=[])
self.assertIn("buy", result)
self.assertIn("sell", result)
self.assertIn("hold", result)
def test_generate_signals_from_klines_sell_when_exit_signal(self) -> None:
config = self._config()
closes = list(range(40, 20, -1))
klines = {"BTCUSDT": self._klines(closes)}
held = [{"symbol": "BTCUSDT", "notional_usdt": 1000.0}]
result = strategy_service.generate_signals_from_klines(config, klines_by_symbol=klines, held_positions=held)
symbols = [s["symbol"] for s in result["sell"]]
self.assertIn("BTCUSDT", symbols)
def test_generate_signals_respects_max_position_weight(self) -> None:
config = self._config()
config["portfolio"]["max_position_weight"] = 0.01
closes = list(range(20, 40))
klines = {"BTCUSDT": self._klines(closes)}
held = [{"symbol": "BTCUSDT", "notional_usdt": 9999.0}]
result = strategy_service.generate_signals_from_klines(config, klines_by_symbol=klines, held_positions=held)
buy_symbols = [s["symbol"] for s in result["buy"]]
self.assertNotIn("BTCUSDT", buy_symbols)
@mock.patch("coinhunter.services.portfolio_service.audit_event")
@mock.patch("coinhunter.services.opportunity_service.audit_event")
def test_generate_trade_signals_dispatches_to_services(self, mock_audit_opp, mock_audit_pf) -> None:
mock_client = MagicMock()
mock_client.klines.return_value = self._klines(list(range(20, 44)))
mock_client.ticker_stats.return_value = [
{
"symbol": "BTCUSDT",
"lastPrice": "30.0",
"priceChangePercent": "5.0",
"quoteVolume": "1000000",
"highPrice": "31.0",
"lowPrice": "29.0",
}
]
mock_client.account.return_value = {"balances": [{"asset": "BTC", "free": "0.5", "locked": "0.0"}]}
mock_client.exchange_info.return_value = {"symbols": [{"symbol": "BTCUSDT", "status": "TRADING"}]}
config = self._config()
result = strategy_service.generate_trade_signals(config, spot_client=mock_client)
self.assertIn("buy", result)
self.assertIn("sell", result)
self.assertIn("hold", result)